Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2076 to 0.2052, down 1.16%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -75.9% to Bear Extreme -95.3%, down 19.4 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.38%0.05%1.16%
Energy1.10.00.519.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.38% 0.05% 1.16% 1.1 0.0 0.5 19.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.16% — higher than 84% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 19.4 pts — higher than 79% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 73,654 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 784 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 784 times100%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -95.3%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 20.8%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 4.7%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-09-15 03:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-75.9%
Bear Extreme
-95.3%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
12:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, ADAUSD recorded in the Bear Extreme energy zone.

Per the 2AI model, Market Energy moved from -75.9% to -95.3%, down -19.4% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 5 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -100 to +96.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 10:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2052, down 1.16% from the previous candle (0.2076). Market Energy was -95.3%, down 19.4 points from -75.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2052, down 1.16% from the previous 1H candle (0.2076). This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 67,480 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 19.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -75.9% to -95.3%. This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at -75.9%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -95.3%, ADAUSD is 20.8 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 4.7 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -78.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -64.8%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Extreme, -95.3%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 56.6%. ADAUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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