Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2086 to 0.2085, down 0.05%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -77.5% to Bear Extreme -76.4%, up 1.1 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.08%0.47%0.52%0.05%
Energy60.341.415.81.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.08% 0.47% 0.52% 0.05% 60.3 41.4 15.8 1.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 4% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.1 pts — higher than 8% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 73,654 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 784 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 784 times100%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -76.37%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.87%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.63%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-77.5%
Bear Extreme
-76.4%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
09:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, ADAUSD recorded in Bear energy in an extreme reading.

Market energy movement Market Energy rose +1.1% this candle, currently -76.4% (previous candle -77.5%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -100 to +96.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 07:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2085, down 0.05% from the previous candle (0.2086). Market Energy was -76.4%, up 1.1 points from -77.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2085, down 0.05% from the previous 1H candle (0.2086). This drop is larger than 4% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 67,477 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -77.5% to -76.4%. This rise is larger than 8% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at -77.5%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -76.4%, ADAUSD is 1.87 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.63 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 35.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Extreme, -76.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 2.8%. ADAUSD energy is currently below DXY by 79.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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