Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2076 to 0.2038, down 1.83%
Market Energy Neutral -4.8% to Bear Extreme -93.5%, down 88.7 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.57%0.38%0.10%1.83%
Energy21.434.129.888.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.57% 0.38% 0.10% 1.83% 21.4 34.1 29.8 88.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.83% — higher than 93% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 88.7 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 73,558 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 780 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 780 times100%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -93.51%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 19.01%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 6.49%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-09-11 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-4.8%
Neutral
-93.5%
Bear Extreme
-100.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, ADAUSD within Bear energy at Extreme.

Looking at the energy level, Energy delta -88.7%: Market Energy at -93.5%, previously -4.8%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.5 to +97.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 16:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2038, down 1.83% from the previous candle (0.2076). Market Energy was -93.5%, down 88.7 points from -4.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2038, down 1.83% from the previous 1H candle (0.2076). This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 67,390 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 88.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -4.8% to -93.5%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD on record since 2019.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at -4.8%, Neutral — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Extreme.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -93.5%, ADAUSD is 19.01 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 6.49 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 95.1%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Extreme, -93.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 66.4%. ADAUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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