Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2221 to 0.2181, down 1.80%
Market Energy Bull Bias 54.7% to Bear Bias -42.2%, down 96.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.64%0.54%0.23%1.80%
Energy1.923.24.896.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.64% 0.54% 0.23% 1.80% 1.9 23.2 4.8 96.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.80% — higher than 93% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 96.9 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 73,537 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,553 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 4,142 times74.6%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,411 times25.4%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -42.17%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 21.29%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 17.83%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
54.7%
Bull Bias
-42.2%
Bear Bias
-59.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, ADAUSD currently in the Bear Bias energy zone.

Market energy measurement Market trend energy recorded a -96.9% drop from the previous candle, from 54.7% to -42.2%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -74.9 to +97.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 16:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2181, down 1.8% from the previous candle (0.2221). Market Energy was -42.2%, down 96.9 points from 54.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2181, down 1.8% from the previous 1H candle (0.2221). This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 67,342 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 96.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 54.7% to -42.2%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD on record since 2019.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at 54.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -42.2%, ADAUSD is 21.29 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 17.83 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -92.9%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Bias, -42.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 92.4%. ADAUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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