Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2177 to 0.2166, down 0.51%
Market Energy Bear Bias -35.5% to Bear Critical -67.8%, down 32.2 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.50%0.45%0.87%0.51%
Energy2.51.937.632.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.50% 0.45% 0.87% 0.51% 2.5 1.9 37.6 32.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.51% — higher than 54% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 32.2 pts — higher than 92% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 73,542 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,825 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,442 times79%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 383 times21%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -67.79%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.79%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 6.71%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-09-09 03:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-35.5%
Bear Bias
-67.8%
Bear Critical
27.7%
Bull Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, ADAUSD classified as Bear Critical.

Meanwhile, Market Energy moved from -35.5% to -67.8%, down -32.2% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -74.9 to +97.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 10:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2166, down 0.51% from the previous candle (0.2177). Market Energy was -67.8%, down 32.2 points from -35.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2166, down 0.51% from the previous 1H candle (0.2177). This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 67,336 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 32.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -35.5% to -67.8%. This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at -35.5%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -67.8%, ADAUSD is 7.79 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 6.71 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 13.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -52.8%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Critical, -67.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -65.5%. ADAUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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