Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.1853 to 0.1855, up 0.11%
Market Energy Bear Critical -62.2% to Bear Critical -60.5%, up 1.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.22%0.05%0.11%
Energy3.011.71.21.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.22% 0.05% 0.11% 3.0 11.7 1.2 1.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.11% — higher than 12% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.7 pts — higher than 12% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 73,566 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,827 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,444 times79%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 383 times21%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -60.48%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.48%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 14.02%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-08-11 18:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-62.2%
Bear Critical
-60.5%
Bear Critical
-47.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, ADAUSD within the near-peak Bear energy level.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy moved from -62.2% to -60.5%, up +1.7% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -78.2 to +66.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 01:00 on 12-08-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.1855, up 0.11% from the previous candle (0.1853). Market Energy was -60.5%, up 1.7 points from -62.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.1855, up 0.11% from the previous 1H candle (0.1853). This rise is larger than 12% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 66,655 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -62.2% to -60.5%. This rise is larger than 12% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at -62.2%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -60.5%, ADAUSD is 0.48 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 14.02 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -14.3%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Critical, -60.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -6.7%. ADAUSD energy is currently below DXY by 53.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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