Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,731.65 to 1,753.84, up 1.28%
Market Energy Bear Bias -59.2% to Bear Critical -64.0%, down 4.7 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 3.84%▲ 2.15%▼ 11.27%▲ 1.28%
Energy▲ 10.6▲ 23.5▼ 36.6▼ 4.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 3.84%▲ 2.15%▼ 11.27%▲ 1.28%▲ 10.6▲ 23.5▼ 36.6▼ 4.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.28% — higher than 23% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.7 pts — higher than 16% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XPDUSD Weekly

Sample: 632 Weekly candles from 2013-03-04 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 36 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 25 times — 69.4%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 11 times — 30.6%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: -63.96%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.96%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.54%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · W1 · 2022-12-19 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-59.2%
Bear Bias
-64.0%
Bear Critical
-52.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed Weekly candle, XPDUSD classified as Bear Critical.

End-of-session energy readings on Weekly, Market Energy dropped -4.7% this candle, currently -64% (previous candle -59.2%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 19-12-2022 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,753.84, up 1.28% from the previous candle (1,731.65). Market Energy was -64%, down 4.7 points from -59.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,753.84, up 1.28% from the previous Weekly candle (1,731.65). This rise is larger than 23% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for XPDUSD, across 210 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -59.2% to -64%. This drop is larger than 16% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had XPDUSD at -59.2%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -64%, XPDUSD is 3.96 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.54 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -21.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 5.3%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Critical, -64%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 15.6%. XPDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 79.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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