Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 2,096.58 to 2,203.62, up 5.11%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 80.4% to Bull Critical 73.2%, down 7.2 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 3.61%▲ 12.44%▼ 8.63%▲ 5.11%
Energy▲ 53.0▲ 39.8▼ 17.8▼ 7.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 3.61%▲ 12.44%▼ 8.63%▲ 5.11%▲ 53.0▲ 39.8▼ 17.8▼ 7.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 5.11% — higher than 86% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.2 pts — higher than 25% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XPDUSD Weekly

Sample: 632 Weekly candles from 2013-03-04 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 37 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 12 times — 32.4%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 25 times — 67.6%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: 73.16%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 13.16%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · W1 · 2020-08-03 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
80.4%
Bull Extreme
73.2%
Bull Critical
63.8%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed Weekly candle data, XPDUSD recorded in Bull energy near extreme.

On trend energy, Market trend energy recorded a -7.2% drop from the previous candle, from 80.4% to 73.2%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 03-08-2020 closed, XPDUSD was at 2,203.62, up 5.11% from the previous candle (2,096.58). Market Energy was 73.2%, down 7.2 points from 80.4%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 2,203.62, up 5.11% from the previous Weekly candle (2,096.58). This rise is larger than 86% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for XPDUSD, across 86 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 80.4% to 73.2%. This drop is larger than 25% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had XPDUSD at 80.4%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 73.2%, XPDUSD is 1.34 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 13.16 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 82.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -6.8%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bull Critical, 73.2%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 77%. XPDUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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