Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 925.15 to 917.7, down 0.81%
Market Energy Bull Bias 56.3% to Neutral 20.5%, down 35.8 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.46%▲ 0.29%▼ 0.06%▼ 0.81%
Energy▲ 50.6▲ 27.4▼ 8.5▼ 35.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.46%▲ 0.29%▼ 0.06%▼ 0.81%▲ 50.6▲ 27.4▼ 8.5▼ 35.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.81% — higher than 89% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 35.8 pts — higher than 85% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XPDUSD 1H

Sample: 55,252 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-08
Number of Neutral occurrences: 4,781 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,438 times — 51%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,343 times — 49%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: 20.51%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.37%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 41.39%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H1 · 2025-01-02 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
56.3%
Bull Bias
20.5%
Neutral
15.2%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Neutral energy zone determined for XPDUSD through the 1H candle data.

Market energy measurement Market trend energy recorded a -35.8% drop from the previous candle, from 56.3% to 20.5%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -92 to +75.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 02-01-2025 closed, XPDUSD was at 917.7, down 0.81% from the previous candle (925.15). Market Energy was 20.5%, down 35.8 points from 56.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 917.7, down 0.81% from the previous 1H candle (925.15). This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 35,170 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 35.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 56.3% to 20.5%. This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XPDUSD at 56.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20.5%, XPDUSD is 0.37 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 41.39 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -17.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 47.2%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Neutral, 20.5%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 90.9%. XPDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 70.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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