Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 955.65 to 953.5, down 0.23%
Market Energy Neutral 11.3% to Bear Bias -41.4%, down 52.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.17%▲ 0.75%▼ 0.56%▼ 0.23%
Energy▼ 18.8▲ 68.4▼ 15.6▼ 52.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.17%▲ 0.75%▼ 0.56%▼ 0.23%▼ 18.8▲ 68.4▼ 15.6▼ 52.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.23% — higher than 52% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 52.7 pts — higher than 91% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XPDUSD 1H

Sample: 55,250 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 4,374 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,814 times — 64.3%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,560 times — 35.7%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: -41.37%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 20.49%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 18.63%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H1 · 2024-12-16 14:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
11.3%
Neutral
-41.4%
Bear Bias
-39.8%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, XPDUSD in the Bear Bias zone.

Market trend update: Market Energy at -41.4%, down -52.7% from 11.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.2 to +78.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 21:00 on 16-12-2024 closed, XPDUSD was at 953.5, down 0.23% from the previous candle (955.65). Market Energy was -41.4%, down 52.7 points from 11.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 953.5, down 0.23% from the previous 1H candle (955.65). This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 34,932 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 52.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 11.3% to -41.4%. This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XPDUSD at 11.3%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -41.4%, XPDUSD is 20.49 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 18.63 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.8%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Bias, -41.4%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 58.8%. XPDUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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