Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 967.3 to 957, down 1.06%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 83.7% to Bear Bias -47.9%, down 131.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.23%▼ 0.08%▲ 0.01%▼ 1.06%
Energy▼ 4.1▼ 7.3▼ 4.2▼ 131.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.23%▼ 0.08%▲ 0.01%▼ 1.06%▼ 4.1▼ 7.3▼ 4.2▼ 131.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.06% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 131.6 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XPDUSD 1H

Sample: 55,250 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 4,374 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,814 times — 64.3%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,560 times — 35.7%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: -47.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 27.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 12.06%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H1 · 2024-07-15 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
83.7%
Bull Extreme
-47.9%
Bear Bias
-65.0%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

XPDUSD recorded in the Market Energy state leaning Bear as the 1H candle ended.

Market energy movement Market Energy moved from 83.7% to -47.9%, down -131.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.2 to +99.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 15-07-2024 closed, XPDUSD was at 957, down 1.06% from the previous candle (967.3). Market Energy was -47.9%, down 131.6 points from 83.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 957, down 1.06% from the previous 1H candle (967.3). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 32,444 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 131.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 83.7% to -47.9%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD on record since 2019.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XPDUSD at 83.7%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -47.9%, XPDUSD is 27.06 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 12.06 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 5.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -96.6%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Bias, -47.9%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -51.5%. XPDUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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