Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,555.14 to 4,506.85, down 1.06%
Market Energy Bull Bias 56.3% to Neutral 20.2%, down 36.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.06% — higher than 97% of past drops
Energy down 36.1 pts — higher than 85% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.370.270.241.069.010.06.836.1-3-2-1nến này
XAUUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,985 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,431 times

When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 748 times52.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 683 times47.7%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 20.25%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.63%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 41.13%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2026-03-25 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
56.3%
Bull Bias
20.2%
Neutral
23.2%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, XAUUSD within the Bull/Bear balanced energy zone.

Per the 2AI model, Compared to the previous candle (56.3%), Market Energy dropped -36.1% to 20.2%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.9 to +82.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 26-03-2026 closed, XAUUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy 20.2%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 36.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 56.3% to 20.2%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 56.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20.2%, XAUUSD is 0.63 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 41.13 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -10%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 1.5%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, 20.2%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 53.1%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 32.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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