Analysis

·

Price and energy
XAUUSD from 3,220.89 to 3,227.48, up 0.20%
Market Energy Bull Critical 68.4% to Bull Critical 62.0%, down 6.5 pts
Energy diverges from price
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.20% — higher than 56% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.5 pts — higher than 37% of past drops
Trend & volatility · last 4 candles
0.33% 0.46% 0.53% 0.20% 13.1 0.1 7.2 6.5
priceenergy up · down
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,985 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 953 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 318 times33.4%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 635 times66.6%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 61.99%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.51%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 1.99%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2025-04-14 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
68.4%
Bull Critical
62.0%
Bull Critical
55.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded XAUUSD in Bull energy near extreme after the 4H candle closed.

Market energy movement Market Energy reading dropped -6.5%, moving from 68.4% to 62% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from +4.1 to +95.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 14-04-2025 closed, XAUUSD was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 62%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.4% to 62%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 68.4%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 62%, XAUUSD is 12.51 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 1.99 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 75.5%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 62%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -66.6%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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