Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 3,052.42 to 3,042.06, down 0.34%
Market Energy Bull Critical 70.5% to Bull Bias 36.3%, down 34.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.34% — higher than 77% of past drops
Energy down 34.2 pts — higher than 84% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.460.200.030.3425.020.39.434.2-3-2-1nến này
XAUUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,985 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,488 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 643 times43.2%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 845 times56.8%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 36.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 23.66%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 15.46%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2025-03-20 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
70.5%
Bull Critical
36.3%
Bull Bias
19.2%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, XAUUSD in the energy zone tilted toward Bull.

On trend energy, The energy level dropped -34.2%: from 70.5% now at 36.3%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from +17.5 to +97.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 20-03-2025 closed, XAUUSD was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 36.3%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 34.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.5% to 36.3%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 70.5%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 36.3%, XAUUSD is 23.66 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 15.46 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 65.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 28.2%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 36.3%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -45.3%. XAUUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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