Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,972.34 to 1,970.38, down 0.10%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 91.4% to Bull Critical 65.8%, down 25.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.10% — higher than 34% of past drops
Energy down 25.6 pts — higher than 79% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.090.460.010.1011.140.910.725.6-3-2-1nến này
XAUUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,985 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 953 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 318 times33.4%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 635 times66.6%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 65.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 8.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 5.82%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2023-07-26 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
91.4%
Bull Extreme
65.8%
Bull Critical
51.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded XAUUSD in Bull Critical after the 4H candle closed.

Market trend energy Market Energy dropped -25.6% from the previous session, from 91.4% to 65.8%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -71 to +91.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 26-07-2023 closed, XAUUSD was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 65.8%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 25.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 91.4% to 65.8%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 91.4%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 65.8%, XAUUSD is 8.68 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 5.82 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -50.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -58.7%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 65.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -5.9%. XAUUSD energy is currently above DXY by 71.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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