Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently controlled by buyers, in the Bull Bias zone. Measured energy: +24.6%.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bull Bias XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,960 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-21
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,486 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 643 times43.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 843 times56.7%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 24.59%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 35.41%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 3.71%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2021-10-21 21:00 UTC
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Market Energy
17.1%
Neutral
24.6%
Bull Bias
29.0%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The energy state tilted toward Bull determined for XAUUSD through the 4H candle data.

Market trend update: The energy level rose +7.5%: from 17.1% now at 24.6%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -90.7 to +89.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 22-10-2021 closed, XAUUSD was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 24.6%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 17.1% to 24.6%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 17.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 24.6%, XAUUSD is 35.41 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 3.71 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 75.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 52.2%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 24.6%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 11.4%. XAUUSD energy is currently above DXY by 13.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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