Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently controlled by buyers, in the Bull Extreme zone. Measured energy: +98.1%.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bull Extreme XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,965 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-24
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 761 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 761 times100%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 98.07%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 1.93%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 23.57%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2021-10-13 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
80.5%
Bull Extreme
98.1%
Bull Extreme
96.8%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

XAUUSD recorded in the Bull Extreme zone as the 4H candle ended.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, A +17.6% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 98.1% (previous: 80.5%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -33.1 to +98.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 14-10-2021 closed, XAUUSD was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 98.1%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 17.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 80.5% to 98.1%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 80.5%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 98.1%, XAUUSD is 1.93 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 23.57 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 2.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 40.3%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Extreme, 98.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -66.5%. XAUUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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