Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently leaning slightly toward buyers, energy +16.4%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,960 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-21
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,427 times

When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 747 times52.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 680 times47.7%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 16.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 4.53%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 37.23%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2021-05-21 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
83.1%
Bull Extreme
16.4%
Neutral
18.1%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, XAUUSD shows neutral energy.

Looking at the energy level, Compared to the previous candle (83.1%), Market Energy dropped -66.7% to 16.4%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -18.3 to +99.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 21-05-2021 closed, XAUUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy 16.4%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 66.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 83.1% to 16.4%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 83.1%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Neutral.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 16.4%, XAUUSD is 4.53 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 37.23 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 92.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 73.4%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, 16.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 66%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 49.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

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