Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently controlled by buyers, in the Bull Extreme zone. Measured energy: +77.1%.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bull Extreme XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,960 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-21
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 759 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 759 times100%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 77.11%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 22.89%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 2.61%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2020-01-21 02:00 UTC
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Market Energy
83.3%
Bull Extreme
77.1%
Bull Extreme
-57.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, Result for XAUUSD: the Bull Extreme measurement.

Observing the XAUUSD market this session, The energy level dropped -6.2%: from 83.3% now at 77.1%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -3.2 to +83.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 09:00 on 21-01-2020 closed, XAUUSD was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 77.1%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 83.3% to 77.1%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 83.3%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 77.1%, XAUUSD is 22.89 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 2.61 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95.1%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Extreme, 77.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -50.6%. XAUUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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