Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,290.25 to 1,287.79, down 0.19%
Market Energy Bull Bias 26.2% to Bear Bias -40.2%, down 66.4 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.19%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 66.4 pts: not enough data to rank
Trend & volatility · last 4 candles
0.23% 0.12% 0.41% 0.19% 5.1 9.1 53.3 66.4
priceenergy up · down
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,985 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,350 times

When XAUUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 824 times61%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 526 times39%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -40.25%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 19.37%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 19.75%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2019-01-04 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
26.2%
Bull Bias
-40.2%
Bear Bias
-39.2%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, Market XAUUSD in the Bear Bias state.

On trend energy, Market Energy reading dropped -66.4%, moving from 26.2% to -40.2% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -40.2 to +88.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 17:00 on 04-01-2019 closed, XAUUSD was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -40.2%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 66.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 26.2% to -40.2%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 26.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -40.2%, XAUUSD is 19.37 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 19.75 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.3%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Bias, -40.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -64%. XAUUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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