Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently controlled by buyers, in the Bull Critical zone. Measured energy: +68.4%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bull Critical XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,966 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-25
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 953 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 318 times33.4%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 635 times66.6%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 68.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 8.44%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2018-11-21 14:00 UTC
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Market Energy
68.5%
Bull Critical
68.4%
Bull Critical
57.7%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, XAUUSD shows the Bull Critical level.

At the 4H session close, A -0.1% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 68.4% (previous: 68.5%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -7 to +86.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 21:00 on 21-11-2018 closed, XAUUSD was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 68.4%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.5% to 68.4%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 68.5%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68.4%, XAUUSD is 6.06 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 8.44 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 39%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 70%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 68.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -30%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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