Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently controlled by buyers, in the Bull Critical zone. Measured energy: +66.6%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bull Critical XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,961 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-24
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 952 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 317 times33.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 635 times66.7%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 66.55%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 7.95%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.55%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2018-09-21 01:00 UTC
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Market Energy
59.5%
Bull Bias
66.6%
Bull Critical
52.6%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

XAUUSD processing result: the near-peak Bull energy state after the 4H candle closed.

The energy side shows Market Energy at 66.6%, up +7% from 59.5% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -92.3 to +66.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 21-09-2018 closed, XAUUSD was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 66.6%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 59.5% to 66.6%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 59.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.6%, XAUUSD is 7.95 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.55 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 70.2%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 66.6%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -73.8%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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