Analysis

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price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,264.52 to 1,263.58 — down 0.07%
Market EnergyBear Critical -66.3%Bear Critical -70.8%down 4.6 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07%
not enough data to rank
Energy −4.6
not enough data to rank
volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
price0.03%0.24%0.04%0.07%energy7.79.70.14.6-3-2-1now
XAUUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,984 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 859 times

When XAUUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 611 times71.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 248 times28.9%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -70.83%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.83%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.67%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2017-12-06 18:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-66.3%
Bear Critical
-70.8%
Bear Critical
-70.2%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, XAUUSD classified as the near-peak Bear energy level.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy dropped -4.6% from the previous session, from -66.3% to -70.8%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.9 to +37.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 01:00 on 07-12-2017 closed, XAUUSD was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -70.8%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -66.3% to -70.8%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at -66.3%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.8%, XAUUSD is 10.83 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.67 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 71.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 74.1%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Critical, -70.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 42%. XAUUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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