Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Extreme zone. Measured energy: -84.0%.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Extreme XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,964 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-24
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 579 times

When XAUUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 579 times100%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -84%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 9.5%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 16%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2017-02-21 06:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-44.3%
Bear Bias
-84.0%
Bear Extreme
-94.5%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, XAUUSD in the Extreme state of Bear.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market trend energy recorded a -39.7% drop from the previous candle, from -44.3% to -84%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -84 to +71.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 13:00 on 21-02-2017 closed, XAUUSD was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -84%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 39.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -44.3% to -84%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at -44.3%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -84%, XAUUSD is 9.5 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 16 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -74.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.5%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Extreme, -84%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 31.3%. XAUUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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