Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Bias zone. Measured energy: -25.6%.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Bias XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,960 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-21
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,347 times

When XAUUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 823 times61.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 524 times38.9%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -25.59%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 4.71%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 34.41%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2016-03-21 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-11.8%
Neutral
-25.6%
Bear Bias
-72.4%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, XAUUSD in the energy state leaning Bear.

Observing the XAUUSD market this session, Market Energy at -25.6%, down -13.8% from -11.8% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -38.9 to +99.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 21-03-2016 closed, XAUUSD was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -25.6%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -11.8% to -25.6%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at -11.8%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -25.6%, XAUUSD is 4.71 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 34.41 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -5.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -8.7%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Bias, -25.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -91.6%. XAUUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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