Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently leaning slightly toward sellers, energy -11.9%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 17,965 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-24
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,427 times

When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 747 times52.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 680 times47.7%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -11.88%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 32.76%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 9%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2015-01-21 14:00 UTC
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Market Energy
64.8%
Bull Critical
-11.9%
Neutral
-18.8%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

The balanced energy zone is the result just recorded for XAUUSD after the 4H candle closed.

On the measurement side, Energy delta -76.7%: Market Energy at -11.9%, previously 64.8%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -11.9 to +92.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 21:00 on 21-01-2015 closed, XAUUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy -11.9%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 76.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 64.8% to -11.9%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 64.8%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Neutral.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -11.9%, XAUUSD is 32.76 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 9 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 23.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -47.4%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, -11.9%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 60.7%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 72.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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