Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently leaning slightly toward buyers, energy +20.4%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,036 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-08-21
Number of Neutral occurrences: 5,654 times

When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,910 times51.5%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,744 times48.5%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 20.38%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.5%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 41.26%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-08-17 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
36.9%
Bull Bias
20.4%
Neutral
22.3%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, Market Energy of XAUUSD indicates the Neutral state.

Market energy movement Market Energy dropped -16.5% from the previous candle, from 36.9% to 20.4%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -93 to +95.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 16:00 on 17-08-2026 closed, XAUUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy 20.4%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 36.9% to 20.4%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 36.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20.4%, XAUUSD is 0.5 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 41.26 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 27.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -39.1%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, 20.4%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -24.1%. XAUUSD energy is currently above DXY by 44.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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