Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,345.21 to 4,349.14, up 0.09%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 91.9% to Bull Extreme 92.2%, up 0.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.09% — higher than 51% of past rises
Energy up 0.3 pts — higher than 3% of past rises
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.260.270.040.0979.625.93.90.3-3-2-1nến này
XAUUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,151 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 2,545 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,545 times100%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 92.2%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 7.8%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 17.7%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-06-16 10:00 UTC
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Market Energy
91.9%
Bull Extreme
92.2%
Bull Extreme
75.5%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, XAUUSD in the extreme Bull energy state.

On the measurement side, Market Energy rose +0.3% this candle, currently 92.2% (previous candle 91.9%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -77.5 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 17:00 on 16-06-2026 closed, XAUUSD was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 92.2%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 91.9% to 92.2%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 91.9%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 92.2%, XAUUSD is 7.8 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 17.7 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 28.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.1%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Extreme, 92.2%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -94.6%. XAUUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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