Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,578.87 to 4,591.44, up 0.27%
Market Energy Bear Critical -64.4% to Neutral 8.7%, up 73.1 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.27% — higher than 88% of past rises
Energy up 73.1 pts — higher than 96% of past rises
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.140.090.260.270.67.625.973.1-3-2-1nến này
XAUUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,151 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-08-28
Number of Neutral occurrences: 5,665 times

When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,914 times51.4%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,751 times48.6%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 8.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 12.16%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 29.6%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-05-01 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-64.4%
Bear Critical
8.7%
Neutral
87.1%
Bull Extreme
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

After the 1H candle closes, XAUUSD noted at the Neutral state.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy rose +73.1% from the previous candle, from -64.4% to 8.7%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.5 to +95.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 01-05-2026 closed, XAUUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy 8.7%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 73.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -64.4% to 8.7%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at -64.4%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Neutral.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 8.7%, XAUUSD is 12.16 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 29.6 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 28%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 19.5%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, 8.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -48.9%. XAUUSD energy is currently above DXY by 57.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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