Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,042.47 to 4,035.19, down 0.18%
Market Energy Bull Critical 69.0% to Bull Critical 60.8%, down 8.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.18% — higher than 79% of past drops
Energy down 8.2 pts — higher than 46% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.300.130.640.1821.211.223.98.2-3-2-1nến này
XAUUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,151 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,591 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,116 times31.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,475 times68.9%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 60.77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 13.73%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.77%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2025-10-12 23:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
69.0%
Bull Critical
60.8%
Bull Critical
49.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, XAUUSD recorded in the near-peak Bull trend energy zone.

End-of-session update for 1H, Market Energy dropped -8.2% this candle, currently 60.8% (previous candle 69%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.9 to +99.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 06:00 on 13-10-2025 closed, XAUUSD was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 60.8%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 69% to 60.8%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 69%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 60.8%, XAUUSD is 13.73 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 0.77 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -88.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 92.7%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 60.8%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -53.1%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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