Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 3,033.43 to 3,027.67, down 0.19%
Market Energy Bear Bias -22.9% to Bear Critical -61.0%, down 38.2 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.19% — higher than 81% of past drops
Energy down 38.2 pts — higher than 87% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.140.060.130.1939.60.521.438.2-3-2-1nến này
XAUUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,151 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3,281 times

When XAUUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,405 times73.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 876 times26.7%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -61.04%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.04%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.46%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2025-03-19 14:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-22.9%
Bear Bias
-61.0%
Bear Critical
-48.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, XAUUSD shows the near-peak Bear energy level.

The energy side shows The energy level dropped -38.2%: from -22.9% now at -61%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -85 to +98.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 21:00 on 19-03-2025 closed, XAUUSD was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -61%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 38.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -22.9% to -61%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at -22.9%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -61%, XAUUSD is 1.04 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 13.46 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 60.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -54.6%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Critical, -61%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 81.6%. XAUUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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