Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 2,917.56 to 2,915.6, down 0.07%
Market Energy Bull Bias 23.2% to Neutral 17.7%, down 5.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 45% of past drops
Energy down 5.5 pts — higher than 35% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.010.030.070.0733.41.55.05.5-3-2-1nến này
XAUUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,151 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-08-28
Number of Neutral occurrences: 5,665 times

When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,914 times51.4%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,751 times48.6%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 17.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 3.16%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 38.6%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2025-03-12 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
23.2%
Bull Bias
17.7%
Neutral
63.8%
Bull Critical
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Neutral recorded from just-completed 1H candle data for XAUUSD.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, The energy level dropped -5.5%: from 23.2% now at 17.7%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -91.7 to +99.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 20:00 on 12-03-2025 closed, XAUUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy 17.7%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 23.2% to 17.7%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 23.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 17.7%, XAUUSD is 3.16 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 38.6 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -20.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 50.3%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, 17.7%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 76.4%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 58.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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