Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently leaning slightly toward sellers, energy -19.0%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,055 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-08-24
Number of Neutral occurrences: 5,656 times

When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,911 times51.5%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,745 times48.5%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -18.97%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 39.85%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 1.91%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2021-12-21 04:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-32.0%
Bear Bias
-19.0%
Neutral
1.7%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, XAUUSD shows the balanced Market Energy state.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy reading rose +13%, moving from -32% to -19% after the 1H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -90.5 to +98.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 11:00 on 21-12-2021 closed, XAUUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy -19%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 13 percentage points from the previous candle — from -32% to -19%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at -32%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Neutral.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -19%, XAUUSD is 39.85 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 1.91 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.9%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, -19%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -15.5%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 3.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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