Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Critical zone. Measured energy: -74.1%.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Critical XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,127 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-08-27
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3,280 times

When XAUUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,404 times73.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 876 times26.7%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -74.09%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.09%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.41%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2016-09-09 19:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-58.2%
Bear Bias
-74.1%
Bear Critical
-87.9%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, XAUUSD in Bear in Critical state.

On the measurement side, Market Energy at -74.1%, down -15.9% from -58.2% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -89 to +96.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 02:00 on 10-09-2016 closed, XAUUSD was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -74.1%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -58.2% to -74.1%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at -58.2%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -74.1%, XAUUSD is 14.09 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.41 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -96.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.9%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Critical, -74.1%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -3%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 71 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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