Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently leaning slightly toward buyers, energy +19.0%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,078 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-08-25
Number of Neutral occurrences: 5,658 times

When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,912 times51.5%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,746 times48.5%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 18.95%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 1.93%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 39.83%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2015-07-21 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
26.4%
Bull Bias
19.0%
Neutral
38.2%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Observing the completed 1H candle, XAUUSD noted at Neutral.

On the measurement side, Market Energy dropped -7.5% from the previous candle, from 26.4% to 19%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -100 to +31.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 12:00 on 21-07-2015 closed, XAUUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy 19%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 26.4% to 19%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 26.4%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 19%, XAUUSD is 1.93 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 39.83 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 46.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 63%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, 19%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 51.6%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 32.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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