Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently leaning slightly toward buyers, energy +19.1%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 3,965 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-08-21
Number of Neutral occurrences: 333 times

When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 174 times52.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 159 times47.7%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 19.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 1.76%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 40%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2021-10-21 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
8.7%
Neutral
19.1%
Neutral
21.0%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

After the Daily session ends, XAUUSD recorded in the Neutral energy state.

At the Daily session close, Market Energy rose +10.4% from the previous session, from 8.7% to 19.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 4 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -13 to +38.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on Daily when this candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 21-10-2021 closed, XAUUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.1%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 8.7% to 19.1%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at 8.7%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 19.1%, XAUUSD is 1.76 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 40 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 26.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -5.5%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, 19.1%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -73.7%. XAUUSD energy is currently above DXY by 92.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

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