Analysis

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XAUUSD is currently controlled by buyers, in the Bull Critical zone. Measured energy: +61.4%.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bull Critical XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 3,966 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-08-23
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 229 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 92 times40.2%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 137 times59.8%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 61.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 13.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 1.44%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2021-08-16 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
82.0%
Bull Extreme
61.4%
Bull Critical
56.6%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the Daily data updates, XAUUSD within the near-peak Bull energy state.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy rose +45% this candle, currently 61.4% (previous candle 16.4%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -54.6 to +82.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was XAUUSD on Daily when this candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 16-08-2021 closed, XAUUSD was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 61.4%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 82% to 61.4%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at 82%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 61.4%, XAUUSD is 13.06 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 1.44 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -38.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -81.1%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 61.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -79.1%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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