Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
WHEAT from 533.5 to 536.405, up 0.54%
Market Energy Bear Critical -68.1% to Bear Critical -70.7%, down 2.6 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 3.39%▲ 2.93%▼ 3.18%▲ 0.54%
Energy▼ 25.4▲ 10.7▼ 2.6▼ 2.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 3.39%▲ 2.93%▼ 3.18%▲ 0.54%▼ 25.4▲ 10.7▼ 2.6▼ 2.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.54% — higher than 9% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.6 pts — higher than 13% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical WHEAT Weekly

Sample: 687 Weekly candles from 2013-01-14 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 33 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Critical:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 19 times — 57.6%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 14 times — 42.4%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -70.75%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.75%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.75%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · W1 · 2025-01-06 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
-68.1%
Bear Critical
-70.7%
Bear Critical
-52.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the Weekly candle just closed, WHEAT within the Bear Critical state.

Market trend update: The energy level dropped -2.6%: from -68.1% now at -70.7%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 06-01-2025 closed, WHEAT was at 536.405, up 0.54% from the previous candle (533.5). Market Energy was -70.7%, down 2.6 points from -68.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 536.405, up 0.54% from the previous Weekly candle (533.5). This rise is larger than 9% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for WHEAT, across 285 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -68.1% to -70.7%. This drop is larger than 13% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had WHEAT at -68.1%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.7%, WHEAT is 10.75 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.75 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 72.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -6.8%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Critical, -70.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.3%. WHEAT energy is currently below DXY by 68.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .