Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
USDJPY from 157.088 to 156.686, down 0.26%
Market Energy Neutral 4.9% to Neutral -17.9%, down 22.8 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.41%▲ 0.46%▼ 1.42%▼ 0.26%
Energy▼ 11.2▼ 0.3▼ 48.7▼ 22.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.41%▲ 0.46%▼ 1.42%▼ 0.26%▼ 11.2▼ 0.3▼ 48.7▼ 22.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.26% — higher than 25% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 22.8 pts — higher than 75% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDJPY Weekly

Sample: 613 Weekly candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-09-28
Number of Neutral occurrences: 59 times

▸When USDJPY is in Neutral:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 36 times — 61%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 23 times — 39%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -17.9%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 38.78%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 2.98%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · W1 · 2026-05-04 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
4.9%
Neutral
-17.9%
Neutral
10.3%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, USDJPY on Weekly is in neutral with energy -17.9. Energy changed -22.8 from previous candle.

USDJPY on Weekly timeframe is currently in neutral state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -17.9, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 04-05-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 156.686, down 0.26% from the previous candle (157.088). Market Energy was -17.9%, down 22.8 points from 4.9%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 156.686, down 0.26% from the previous Weekly candle (157.088). This drop is larger than 25% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for USDJPY, across 383 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 22.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 4.9% to -17.9%. This drop is larger than 75% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had USDJPY at 4.9%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -17.9%, USDJPY is 38.78 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 2.98 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -14.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 69.7%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Neutral, -17.9%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 66.5%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 84.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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