Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
USDJPY from 155.736 to 154.782, down 0.61%
Market Energy Bear Bias -21.8% to Bear Bias -48.1%, down 26.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.70%▲ 0.11%▼ 1.50%▼ 0.61%
Energy▲ 11.8▼ 4.4▼ 89.1▼ 26.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.70%▲ 0.11%▼ 1.50%▼ 0.61%▲ 11.8▼ 4.4▼ 89.1▼ 26.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.61% — higher than 49% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 26.3 pts — higher than 78% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY Weekly

Sample: 613 Weekly candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 52 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 33 times — 63.5%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 19 times — 36.5%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -48.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 27.22%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 11.9%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · W1 · 2026-01-26 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-21.8%
Bear Bias
-48.1%
Bear Bias
17.9%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, USDJPY on Weekly is in bear bias with energy -48.1. Energy changed -26.3 from previous candle.

USDJPY on Weekly timeframe is currently in bear bias state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -48.1, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 26-01-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 154.782, down 0.61% from the previous candle (155.736). Market Energy was -48.1%, down 26.3 points from -21.8%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 154.782, down 0.61% from the previous Weekly candle (155.736). This drop is larger than 49% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for USDJPY, across 369 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 26.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -21.8% to -48.1%. This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had USDJPY at -21.8%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -48.1%, USDJPY is 27.22 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 11.9 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -10.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.6%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -48.1%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -85.2%. USDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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