Analysis

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USDJPY is currently controlled by buyers, in the Bull Critical zone. Measured energy: +72.0%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bull Critical USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,133 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-27
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,059 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 386 times36.4%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 673 times63.6%

Current USDJPY market energy: 72.01%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.49%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.01%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-08-12 01:00 UTC
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Market Energy
69.5%
Bull Critical
72.0%
Bull Critical
60.5%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The near-peak Bull energy level is the result just recorded for USDJPY after the 4H candle closed.

Market trend update: Market Energy rose +2.5% this candle, currently 72% (previous candle 69.5%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -57.1 to +99.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was USDJPY on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 12-08-2026 closed, USDJPY was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 72%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 69.5% to 72%.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 69.5%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72%, USDJPY is 2.49 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.01 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -62.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -29.6%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 72%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -1.9%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 73.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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