Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 162.133 to 161.799, down 0.21%
Market Energy Bull Critical 71.4% to Neutral -8.5%, down 79.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.09%▼ 0.10%▲ 0.02%▼ 0.21%
Energy▼ 5.3▼ 17.0▼ 6.3▼ 79.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.09%▼ 0.10%▲ 0.02%▼ 0.21%▼ 5.3▼ 17.0▼ 6.3▼ 79.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.21% — higher than 76% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 79.9 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,307 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-07
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,527 times

▸When USDJPY is in Neutral:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 843 times — 55.2%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 684 times — 44.8%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -8.53%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 29.41%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 12.35%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-07-07 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
71.4%
Bull Critical
-8.5%
Neutral
-11.0%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, USDJPY on 4H is in neutral with energy -8.5. Energy changed -79.9 from previous candle.

USDJPY on 4H timeframe is currently in neutral state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -8.5, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -96.8 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 07-07-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 161.799, down 0.21% from the previous candle (162.133). Market Energy was -8.5%, down 79.9 points from 71.4%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 161.799, down 0.21% from the previous 4H candle (162.133). This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,696 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 79.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 71.4% to -8.5%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 71.4%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Neutral.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -8.5%, USDJPY is 29.41 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 12.35 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -49.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -22.2%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Neutral, -8.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -55%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 46.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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