Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 161.81 to 161.712, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bull Critical 72.6% to Bull Bias 58.7%, down 13.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.00%▲ 0.00%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.06%
Energy▲ 13.0▼ 7.3▲ 1.6▼ 13.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.00%▲ 0.00%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.06%▲ 13.0▼ 7.3▲ 1.6▼ 13.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 35% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.9 pts — higher than 62% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,309 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,595 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 726 times — 45.5%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 869 times — 54.5%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 58.7%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 1.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 37.82%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-06-24 21:00 UTC
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Market Energy
72.6%
Bull Critical
58.7%
Bull Bias
56.0%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, USDJPY on 4H is in bull bias with energy 58.7. Energy changed -13.9 from previous candle.

USDJPY on 4H timeframe is currently in bull bias state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads 58.7, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from +9.7 to +95.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 25-06-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 161.712, down 0.06% from the previous candle (161.81). Market Energy was 58.7%, down 13.9 points from 72.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 161.712, down 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (161.81). This drop is larger than 35% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,647 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 72.6% to 58.7%. This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 72.6%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 58.7%, USDJPY is 1.3 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 37.82 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 52.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.5%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 58.7%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 11.4%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 47.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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