Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 159.742 to 159.784, up 0.03%
Market Energy Bull Critical 65.1% to Bull Critical 69.9%, up 4.8 pts
Up candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.00%▲ 0.04%▲ 0.01%▲ 0.03%
Energy▼ 4.2▲ 9.7▲ 4.3▲ 4.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.00%▲ 0.04%▲ 0.01%▲ 0.03%▼ 4.2▲ 9.7▲ 4.3▲ 4.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.03% — higher than 16% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 4.8 pts — higher than 26% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,309 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,073 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 393 times — 36.6%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 680 times — 63.4%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 69.86%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 4.64%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 9.86%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-06-02 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
65.1%
Bull Critical
69.9%
Bull Critical
85.6%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

USDJPY recorded in the Bull Critical zone as the 4H candle ended.

Per the 2AI model, A +4.8% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 69.9% (previous: 65.1%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -81.4 to +69.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 02-06-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 159.784, up 0.03% from the previous candle (159.742). Market Energy was 69.9%, up 4.8 points from 65.1%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 159.784, up 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (159.742). This rise is larger than 16% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,548 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 4.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 65.1% to 69.9%. This rise is larger than 26% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 65.1%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 69.9%, USDJPY is 4.64 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 9.86 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 66%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.8%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 69.9%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 23.6%. USDJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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