Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 158.612 to 158.431, down 0.11%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 74.6% to Neutral -20.6%, down 95.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.02%0.06%0.11%
Energy7.11.16.295.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.02% 0.06% 0.11% 7.1 1.1 6.2 95.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.11% — higher than 83% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 95.1 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,936 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Neutral occurrences: 5,656 times

When USDJPY is in Neutral:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,986 times52.8%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,670 times47.2%

Current USDJPY market energy: -20.55%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 41.43%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 0.33%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-05-15 06:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
74.6%
Bull Extreme
-20.6%
Neutral
-39.7%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, USDJPY noted at the balanced energy level.

Market energy movement Market Energy moved from 74.6% to -20.6%, down -95.1% from the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -47 to +97.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 13:00 on 15-05-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 158.431, down 0.11% from the previous candle (158.612). Market Energy was -20.6%, down 95.1 points from 74.6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.431, down 0.11% from the previous 1H candle (158.612). This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 45,919 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 95.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 74.6% to -20.6%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 74.6%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Neutral.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -20.6%, USDJPY is 41.43 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 0.33 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -86.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -2.7%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Neutral, -20.6%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 85.8%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 106.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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