Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 157.229 to 156.744, down 0.31%
Market Energy Bull Critical 61.4% to Bear Bias -25.0%, down 86.4 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.07%0.04%0.03%0.31%
Energy18.119.96.286.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.07% 0.04% 0.03% 0.31% 18.1 19.9 6.2 86.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.31% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 86.4 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,923 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,083 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 3,246 times63.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 1,837 times36.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: -24.97%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 4.09%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 35.03%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-05-04 18:00 UTC
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Market Energy
61.4%
Bull Critical
-25.0%
Bear Bias
-9.3%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 1H timeframe completes, USDJPY in the Bear trend energy zone.

On the measurement side, Energy delta -86.4%: Market Energy at -25%, previously 61.4%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -98.8 to +95.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 01:00 on 05-05-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 156.744, down 0.31% from the previous candle (157.229). Market Energy was -25%, down 86.4 points from 61.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 156.744, down 0.31% from the previous 1H candle (157.229). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 45,715 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 86.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 61.4% to -25%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 61.4%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -25%, USDJPY is 4.09 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 35.03 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85.7%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -25%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 57%. USDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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