Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 159.038 to 159.023, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 77.3% to Bull Critical 66.1%, down 11.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.08%0.03%0.01%
Energy1.627.011.211.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.08% 0.03% 0.01% 1.6 27.0 11.2 11.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 13% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.2 pts — higher than 59% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,936 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,631 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,195 times32.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,436 times67.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: 66.05%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 8.45%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.05%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-04-16 10:00 UTC
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Market Energy
77.3%
Bull Extreme
66.1%
Bull Critical
45.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 1H candle, USDJPY currently in the Bull Critical measurement.

On the measurement side, Market Energy reading dropped -11.2%, moving from 77.3% to 66.1% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -86.5 to +87.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 17:00 on 16-04-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 159.023, down 0.01% from the previous candle (159.038). Market Energy was 66.1%, down 11.2 points from 77.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 159.023, down 0.01% from the previous 1H candle (159.038). This drop is larger than 13% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 45,419 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 77.3% to 66.1%. This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 77.3%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.1%, USDJPY is 8.45 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.05 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -20.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 66.1%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 83.3%. USDJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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