Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 158.981 to 158.86, down 0.08%
Market Energy Bull Bias 50.6% to Bear Bias -32.7%, down 83.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.07%0.06%0.07%0.08%
Energy1.53.135.883.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.07% 0.06% 0.07% 0.08% 1.5 3.1 35.8 83.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.08% — higher than 69% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 83.3 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,936 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,083 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 3,246 times63.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 1,837 times36.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: -32.66%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 11.78%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 27.34%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-03-12 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
50.6%
Bull Bias
-32.7%
Bear Bias
1.1%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, Market USDJPY in the energy level leaning Bear.

Observing the USDJPY market this session, A -83.3% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -32.7% (previous: 50.6%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -90.9 to +95.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 08:00 on 12-03-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 158.86, down 0.08% from the previous candle (158.981). Market Energy was -32.7%, down 83.3 points from 50.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.86, down 0.08% from the previous 1H candle (158.981). This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 44,810 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 83.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 50.6% to -32.7%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 50.6%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -32.7%, USDJPY is 11.78 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 27.34 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -46.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -97.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -32.7%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 69.1%. USDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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