Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 153.729 to 153.812, up 0.05%
Market Energy Bull Critical 71.2% to Bull Critical 73.3%, up 2.1 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.16%0.03%0.01%0.05%
Energy51.320.46.62.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.16% 0.03% 0.01% 0.05% 51.3 20.4 6.6 2.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.05% — higher than 57% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.1 pts — higher than 16% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,936 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,631 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,195 times32.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,436 times67.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: 73.32%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.18%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 13.32%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-02-18 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
71.2%
Bull Critical
73.3%
Bull Critical
59.8%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, USDJPY within the near-peak Bull energy state.

On the energy side, Market Energy rose +2.1% from the previous session, from 71.2% to 73.3%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -98.5 to +88.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 17:00 on 18-02-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 153.812, up 0.05% from the previous candle (153.729). Market Energy was 73.3%, up 2.1 points from 71.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 153.812, up 0.05% from the previous 1H candle (153.729). This rise is larger than 57% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 44,434 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 71.2% to 73.3%. This rise is larger than 16% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 71.2%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 73.3%, USDJPY is 1.18 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 13.32 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 100%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 73.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 22%. USDJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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