Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 153.198 to 153.136, down 0.04%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 75.8% to Bull Critical 65.4%, down 10.4 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.11%0.02%0.04%
Energy0.421.90.910.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.11% 0.02% 0.04% 0.4 21.9 0.9 10.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.04% — higher than 47% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.4 pts — higher than 57% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,936 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,631 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,195 times32.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,436 times67.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: 65.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 9.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 5.44%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-02-16 06:00 UTC
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Market Energy
75.8%
Bull Extreme
65.4%
Bull Critical
77.5%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, Result for USDJPY: Bull Critical.

At the 1H session close, Market Energy moved from 75.8% to 65.4%, down -10.4% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -97.8 to +90.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 13:00 on 16-02-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 153.136, down 0.04% from the previous candle (153.198). Market Energy was 65.4%, down 10.4 points from 75.8%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 153.136, down 0.04% from the previous 1H candle (153.198). This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 44,382 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 75.8% to 65.4%. This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 75.8%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 65.4%, USDJPY is 9.06 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 5.44 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 7.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 25.2%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 65.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 1.8%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 63.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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